Two-Way Radio Terminal Shipments to Increase to 7M by Year-End (11/7/12)
Wednesday, November 07, 2012 | Comments

IMS Research forecasted the number of terminals shipped to professional radio users will increase to more than 7 million by the end of 2012. The company tracks the installed base and shipments of licensed mobile and portable radio terminals, and analysts said the digital revolution is under way. This will drive further growth in the terminal market, leading to forecasts of nearly 8 million terminals in 2016.

In 2011, users of analog technologies were still estimated to make up 80 percent of the overall professional mobile radio (PMR) market. However, this proportion is set to change with increased levels of shipments, and in particular, digital shipments forecast through 2016, driving the overall growth trend in the PMR market.

“The transition to digital is here to stay,” said Thomas Lynch, associate director at IMS Research. “It is more than evident from 2010 and 2011 recorded shipments that digital technologies are starting to reshape the market. There are a number of key drivers behind this, not least that agencies throughout the vertical markets are starting to see the efficiencies that can be gained by using digital technologies.”

Other drivers are expected to help enable the continued growth of land mobile terminals. First, new users continue to be added to the networks as agencies see the benefit in using radio as their primary communications medium. Further, drivers include legislation and the need for spectrum efficiency, increased interest in digital from manufacturers providing more options, and the fact that upgrades are currently necessary for many mission-critical network users.

IMS Research forecasted that the market will grow in terms of new users and in the proportion of digital users. During the next four or five years, the PMR market will look considerably different. New technologies entering the market such as Professional Digital Trunking (PDT), Digital Mobile Radio (DMR) Tier III and Project 25 (P25) Phase 2 will also provide end users with more digital choices than ever.

However, education of end users is required to ensure the transition and shipment growth. “If manufacturers can really specify and educate their potential markets as to the benefits of digital solutions, then this trend will continue beyond 2016 leaving a very different market place by 2020,” Lynch said.

IMS Research’s recently published report “Licensed Mobile Radio – World 2012” assesses the market for licensed mobile radios by providing detailed shipment and revenue analysis by country/region and vertical application area.

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